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Host discusses upgrading the home studio, new desk, improved soundproofing, and excitement for the conversation.
Market stabilizes after last week’s crash with BTC above 111K and ETH over 4k, as ETF decisions and macro cues loom.
Summary
CoinMarketCap’s weekly crypto forecast with Jonathan and Alice brings a practical read on the current pulse of markets. They note Bitcoin breaking back above 111K and Ethereum topping 4,000, signaling renewed risk appetite after last week’s liquidity crunch. The panel tracks macro signals like ETF decisions looming this week and a busy end of October for Fed-time commentary, framing a scenario where institutional flows still matter. Altcoins show mixed momentum: Zcash is up around 17% on a bounce, while ENA and Faky grab attention with on-chain or social catalysts. They also discuss the fair value readings from the CMC fair index, which remains in the orange zone, and the Altcoin Season Index hovering in BTC-season territory at 26/100. The hosts emphasize that the market has stabilized from last week’s crash, with BTC dominance hovering near 59% and Ether’s dominance around 12.9%. On-chain and ETF data are cited to illustrate divergent investor behavior—outflows in some US ETFs juxtaposed with inflows abroad—suggesting a nuanced, horizon-focused approach among institutional players. Jonathan promises a deeper dive into TA charts to outline possible short-term price paths for Bitcoin. Overall sentiment shifts from caution to cautious optimism as the market regains momentum and listeners are reminded to stay tuned for the next episode and the ongoing macro narrative.
Key Takeaways
- Bitcoin has recovered to roughly 111.4K, up about 2.6% in the last 24 hours, signaling renewed bid interest after last week’s selloff.
- Ether has surpassed 4,000 USD again, trading around 4,044 USD, reinforcing the idea that large-cap coins are leading the recovery.
- Zcash jumped nearly 17% in the past 24 hours, driven by TA bounce signals rather than a single fundamental news event.
- The Altcoin Season Index sits at 26/100, indicating the market remains in BTC-season despite some selective momentum in mid-cap alts like ENA and Faky.
- Institutional flows show a mixed picture: US ETF outflows were large, yet inflows persisted in Germany, Switzerland, and Canada as investors buy the dip.
- Market commentary highlights a forthcoming week full of ETF decisions and Fed-related speeches, which could drive volatility and set the tone for late October.
- TA-focused analysis is promised by Jonathan, aiming to frame near-term Bitcoin price movements despite ongoing macro uncertainty.
Who Is This For?
Essential viewing for crypto traders and investors who want a concise read on the macro backdrop, liquidity flows, and near-term price drivers as ETF decisions loom. It’s particularly valuable for listeners tracking Bitcoin, Ethereum, and select alts like Zcash and ENA.
Notable Quotes
"BTC dominance at 58.9%, Ether at 12.9% market dominance."
—Shows the current hierarchy of market leadership and where capital is flowing among the blue chips.
"As we speak, the total crypto market cap is at 3.76 trillion USD. That’s up 2.26% for the past 24 hours."
—Provides the live macro snapshot that anchors the discussion.
"Definitely feeling a little bit better than I was this time last week when everything was significantly down."
—Communicates the sentiment shift as markets stabilize.
"We will be going into some TA charts as well to help us think about how to frame where Bitcoin's price could go next in the short term."
—Teases the future technical roadmap for the episode.
"The market has stabilized from last week's crash."
—Core takeaway about the near-term market condition.
Questions This Video Answers
- Why did last week’s crypto market crash happen and is the recovery sustainable?
- Which ETFs are decisions expected this week and how could they impact prices?
- How are institutional flows affecting Bitcoin and Ethereum differently right now?
- Which altcoins are showing real momentum despite a broad BTC-dominant environment?
- What TA signals should traders watch for in the upcoming week for BTC and ETH?
Full Transcript
a week strong, I guess. Yes. Yes, of course. I'm doing well myself. Uh yeah, I had a nice weekend here. Uh I have been working on updating and sort of rebuilding my home studio, so I have no idea if there's any noticeable difference in quality, but I put up some more more sound proofing uh up in the studio here. I got myself a new desk. So, I'm very excited to be here and to be, you know, sitting at this new desk and having this great conversation with you. Excellent. Excellent. Yeah. So, I mean, you mentioned, well, I guess let me before we um jump into the macro stuff here, let me just give some disclaimers, the usual disclaimers here.
So, of course, nothing we say in this show should be taken as financial advice. You should do your own research before making any financial and investment decisions. The show airs every single Monday. To make sure you don't miss an episode, go into the Coin Market Cap app and set your reminder to catch the next one. As a matter of fact, the next week's episode is already in the community section under live. So, you can go there and set your reminder right now so that you don't miss it. But in case you do miss it, you can always listen to it after the fact by going to the live section of coinarketcap.com community or in the app and listen to it there as well as catch it on your favorite podcast platform in the next couple hours or so after we finish the conversation here.
So that is Spotify, that is Apple podcast, and that is several other podcast platforms. So, with that bit of housekeeping out of the way, let's see how people in the chat. Hello, Alice and Jonathan. Keep it 100. Yes, we definitely will keep it 100 during this call. Nice one there if that's complimenting the studio. Good morning to you, Patrick J, as well. And yeah, thank you to all of the community members who are joining to make this a what I think will be, as per usual, an exciting and packed crypto weekly forecast, weekly weekly crypto forecast, I guess I should say.
So, um, yeah, with that all said, are you ready to jump into the macro perspective, Alice? Yeah, let's do it. Let's look at some data points. As we speak, the total crypto market cap is at 3.76 trillion USD. That's up 2.26% for the past 24 hours. The trade volume is stabilizing at 154 billion USD. Last week when the massive liquidation happened, we saw it around $250 billion value and now the market has come down a little bit. BTC dominance at 58.9%, Ether at 12.9% market dominance. Great to see Ether above 4,000 finally and BTC above 111K.
As we speak, the CMC crypto fair and great index is giving me 30 that is still in the orange fair zone although we have bounced back from the deeper uh low 20s. So, it's great to see the market recovering a little bit. Altcoin season index is is actually quite bad guys. We're at 26 out of 100. So, we are definitely still in BTC season. That said, we saw some great momentum happening this week. What is going on? So, for the past uh seven days, leading the chart, topping the performance, number one is Faky. Um that is up 28.9% for the past 24 hours, up 20.5% for the past seven days.
That is driven by Elon Musk tweeting about his dog Foy and the Mecoin pump. And then number two it's Athena ticker ENA that is up 10.6% for the past seven days largely driven by the will war intensifies that we are saying crypto whales placed oppositing bats on ENA directives uh with one entity holding 70 million USD in mixed positions while another opened a 75 million BTC short. So what we are seeing is a a bit of battle happening on ENA. So definitely keep an eye on that as well. And number three is Zcash. Zcash is up close to uh 17% for the past 24 hours.
That is driven by what we are seeing is mostly just TA signals bouncing back. Number four, we have bit uh bensor tarta that is also up 7.8% for the past seven days. And then number five is XDC network uh up 6%. So some of these altcoins are having quite a strong momentum. But coming back to the major uh large caps I guess what we are seeing at the moment BTC has finally bounced back right now is giving me 111.4K at the moment and that is up 2.6% for the past 24 hours. Ether is now at 4,044 USD.
Um BMBB bounced back uh uh slightly as well at 1,18 XRP 2.47. XRP does have quite a bullish view given you know um I will talk a little bit about this. We have DAT coming out. We have ETF decisions coming out. Salana 191 USD. So those are some of the major large outs. So overall I would say the market has stabilized from last week's crash. What we are saying ahead of us is going to be a very busy ETF decision week. It's going to be a very busy end of October Fed decision speech time zone.
So yes, overall the market has uh recovered a bit. That definitely took some edge off uh from the sentiment. So what how are you feeling Jonathan? definitely feeling a little bit better than I was uh you know this time last week when everything was significantly down. So it's nice to look I mean if we look at the 7-day charts here some of this stuff is still down a little bit more than I would like but it's it's it's much better to see you know I remember looking at the 7-day chart a few days ago and everything was down like 10% or something.
So, it's great to see that that's recovering a bit and to look especially at the 24hour chart and see that we have a bit of momentum building up that again, especially looking at Bitcoin, which was even just within the last 24 hours down to 107.6 107.5 roughly. And on the 7-day chart, we're not quite back to where we were this time last week. But again, if we look at when we crash down to 104K, it is great to see that we have added another what is that 7.5K roughly onto the price of Bitcoin. And it's got me feeling more excited and more motivated as we get into this week.
And if you stick around to the end of this conversation, we will be going or I will be going into some some TA charts as well to help us think about how to frame where Bitcoin's price could go next in the short term. So yeah, I would say overall feeling uh you know uh uh definitely more excited and happy to be happy that Bitcoin and crypto was sort of back in the game and that this downward trend has not continued. How about you? How you feeling overall? Yeah, I think it's really good to say the market stabilizes and we can see that from a few of the um institutional flows as well.
Um so what we saw for example last week was that uh digital asset ETPS they saw yes 513 mil USD worth of outflows after the October 10th of uh you know liquidity cascade although ETP investors they largely shrug it off. So I know there's a bit of different data points you guys are reading at the moment because some are saying you know uh social value for example they have reported largely focusing on the US ETFs they reported an outflow of 1.2 2 billion USD that is the second largest uh outflows from um in cry in ETF history I guess like among crypto ETFs but because it's focusing on solely just only a few um ex specific ETFs it's missing out on the entire market but if you look zooming out what we are seeing is a bit of rotation a product rotation as well so based on the total holistic view that uh quen uh Quan shares data is giving US digital asset ETPS.
They saw only about 500 million or so outflows after the liquidity casket. To be honest, given how severe the event was, how big the price per correction was last week, it gives me a very good feeling when institutional investors are not uh having massive pullback. That also shows that they have a generally speaking a way longer investment horizon than what we are used to in just the cryptonative world. So the outflows were US focused. In the US, coin shares said that they have about 620 million USD of outflows. But in Germany, Switzerland and Canada, they actually recorded inflows as investors are buying the dip.
Germany. If you guys remember uh a year ago in 2024 summertime um when we had you know
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